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Ballot boxes and poll documents were among those seized by the military during the raid of Ampatuan homes in Maguindanao last weekend following the declaration of Martial Law in the province.

Why were election documents and paraphernalia being kept in Ampatuan residences?

The declaration of Martial Law in Maguindanao (except in ‘MILF areas’) has raised fears that the move is part of a larger, sinister scheme by the Macapagal-Arroyo administration to stay in power beyond June 2010 as the country’s chief executive as well as ‘destroy evidence’ of the fraud committed by the Ampatuan clan on Arroyo’s behalf to ‘secure’ her victory in the 2004 elections. The Daily Tribune reports:

Senate Minority Leader Aquilino Pimentel Jr. said he received information that election officials assigned to the Autonomous Region in Muslim Mindanao (ARMM) have been ordered to examine and take custody of the poll documents.

Pimentel believed the documents are key to prove the rigging of results in the 2004 polls that enabled President Arroyo to win another six-year term as president and for administration candidates to sweep the senatorial race in the province in 2007.

“The Ampatuans have threatened that if the government
would nail them down, they would reveal what really happened in the past two elections,” he said.

COMELEC has asked the military to turn over the confiscated ballot boxes and poll documents to the poll body.

It would interesting to find out what those ballot boxes and poll documents contain.

To jog our memory of the election fraud committed in Maguindanao for Macapagal-Arroyo’s benefit, see the extract below on the Maguindanao elections from the report of the Minority Members of the Joint Committee of Congress, the body which canvassed the votes for presidential and vice-presidential candidates in the May 10, 2004 elections.

85. MAGUINDANAO

The following observations were made:

1. The Committee denied the request of counsel for candidate Poe to have a power point presentation showing that the provincial COC for Maguindanao is a product of fictitious and spurious votes coming from 11 municipalities, which have a turnout of 99.99%, with all the votes going to candidate GMA and zero for candidate Poe.

2. In the municipality of Ampatuan, the number of registered voters is 9,616; election turnout was 27.67%. The manufactured election results are as follows: Arroyo got 9,321 or 100% of all the votes cast in the town of Ampatuan, while FPJ got zero or 0% of all the votes in the town of Ampatuan.

3. In Datu Piang, 17,688 registered voters; 97.56% voters actually voted. Actually received, 17,250 [for GMA], while FPJ received zero.

4. In Sahriff (sic) Aguak, with registered voters of 22,854. There was a turnout of 99.89% and Arroyo received 22,754 or 99.98%, while Poe was given 5 or .02%.

5. In Datu Saudi Ampatuan, registered voters—9,974; election turn out—94.67%. Manufactured results for Arroyo was 8,944 but FPJ got only 5.

6. In Mamasapano, with registered voters of 10,503, election turn out was 98.14%. Arroyo received 10,192 or 99.78%, and they gave Poe 22 votes.

7. In Datu Unsay, registered voters total 7,970. There was a turnout of 99.69%, and Arroyo received 7,905 or 99.05%, while FPJ was given 40 or .05%.

8. In Datu Abdullah Sanki, with 6,866 registered voters, voter turnout was 89.08%. Arroyo received 6,045 or 99.02%. FPJ received 60 votes.

9. In Talayan, where there are 7,114 registered voters, we have a turnout of 93.49% and we have here 6,777 for Arroyo or 97%, 174 votes for Poe.

10. The same is true with Gindulungan, Buluan, Ampaglat. All of these have a voting percentage of 93% and above and in all these places, candidate FPJ received very minimal votes.

11. The total of all these 11 towns in Maguindanao is 109,151 for Arroyo, and FPJ gets 1,471. In other words, for all of these towns, Arroyo received 98.71%. FPJ received 1.29%.

12. There were no elections in these places in Maguindanao. In fact, petitions for the exclusion from canvass of the municipal COCs from these municipalities were filed on May 12, 6:10 pm, on the ground that no elections took place.

13. The following alterations and erasures were noted by counsel for candidate Villanueva.

In Precincts 118-A/123-B, under SOV/P No. 000708, Municipality of Datu Udin Sinsuat, GMA’s 57 votes was (sic) changed to 67.

In Precinct 10-A the 120 votes of candidate Legarda was (sic) changed to 50.

In Precinct No. 1A in the Municipality of Barira, the 10 votes of GMA was (sic) changed to 140.

14. Only 31 Election Returns, out of an expected 1,687, were turned over to the Senate by the Provincial Board of Canvassers.

15. Congressman Dilangalen of Maguindanao confirmed that no elections took place in the municipalities mentioned by the counsel for candidate Poe, and that it was really improbable for any candidate to have gotten 100% of the votes in those municipalities even if elections really did take place. [He] mentioned that [he] has many relatives in those places, specially Datu Piang, who were out and out for candidate Poe.

A request for the opening of the election returns for Maguindanao was flatly rejected by the Committee.

Nothwithstanding the foregoing observation, [in] which case [cast] doubt as to the veracity of those votes indicated for the candidate, and despite continuing reservation and objection against a canvass, the authenticity of the canvass documents not having been proved, there being no submission by the COMELEC of the security marks to serve as basis for determination of authenticity, and, even if there was absolute lack of improper identification of the canvass documents, the Committee simply noted the same and proceeded to canvass the COC for Maguindanao.

The Committee was chaired by Raul M. Gonzales (for the House), who later became Arroyo’s justice secretary, and Francis Pangilinan (for the Senate), the latter earning the monicker, ‘Mr. Noted’, for his ‘notable’ performance in the 2004 canvass of the presidential and vice-presidential votes.

The emphases (in bold) were added and, for purposes of clarity, minor style edits (in brackets) were made.

A copy of the Minority Report can be downloaded from this page.

A reprint of the Minority Report can also be found in the edited volume, Fraud: Gloria M. Arroyo and the May 2004 Elections, edited by Bobby M. Tuazon, with preface by Temario C. Rivera, published by CenPEG (Center for People Empowerment in Governance), Quezon City, Philippines, 2006, pages 309-420.

30

My parents were journalists and published a community newspaper for a long time before they retired. This was in ‘Danding country’, ‘Peping country’, ‘Ninoy country’, sometimes, ‘Kumander Dante country’; and maybe soon, ‘Gibo country’, or ‘Noynoy country’, but—undeniably—‘Cojuangco country’.

Here are the names of the thirty (30) community journalists who died in a single day, 23 November 2009, in ‘Ampatuan country’, and perhaps soon-to-become ‘Mangudadatu country’:

Bombo Radyo
Ernesto “Bart” Maravilla, Koronadal City

Central Mindanao Inquirer
Andres “Andy” Teodoro, Tacurong City

DXGO
Santos Gatchalian, Davao City

Gold Star Daily
Benjie Adolfo, Koronadal City
Rubello Bataluna, Koronadal City
Jhoy Duhay, Tacurong City
Ronnie Perante, Koronadal City

Radio DZRH
Henry Araneta, General Santos City

Manila Bulletin
Alejandro “Bong” Reblando, General Santos City

Midland Review
Romeo Jimmy Cabillo, Tacurong City
Reynaldo “Bebot” Momay, Tacurong City

Mindanao Daily Gazette
Lindo Lupogan, Davao City
Napoleon Salaysay, Cotabato City

News Focus
Marites Cablitas, General Santos City
Rosell Morales, General Santos City

Periodico Ini
Arturo Betia, General Santos City
John Caniban, General Santos City
Noel Decina,  General Santos City
Rey Merisco, Koronadal City
Fernando “Rani” Razon, General Santos City

Prontiera News
Bienvenido Legarte Jr., Koronadal City
Joel Parcon, Koronadal City

Punto News
Hannibal Cachuela, Koronadal City

Saksi News
Gina Dela Cruz, General Santos City
Marife “Neneng” Montaño, General Santos City

Socsargen News
Lea Dalmacio, General Santos City

Socsargen Today

Ian Subang, General Santos City

UNTV
Mark Gilbert “Mac-Mac” Arriola, General Santos City
Eugene Dohillo, General Santos City
Victor Nuñez, General Santos City

Still missing in action
Jolito Evardo, UNTV, General Santos City

The Maguindanao massacre ’signifies the emergence of new-type warlords’, according to Francisco Lara Jr., ‘whose powers depend upon their control of a vast illegal and shadow economy and an ever-growing slice of internal revenue allotments… [and which] induce a violent addiction to political office’. Read his analysis.

Respect

‘Super’ and ‘very large’ are adjectives that nobody wants attached to an approaching ‘typhoon’, especially at a time when millions of residents of Luzon have yet to recover from the destructive effects of the two previous ones, Ondoy (Ketsana) and Pepeng (Parma).

What does a super-typhoon or a category 5 tropical cyclone look like?

Typhoon Lupit satellite image, 19 Oct 2009 (Source: Joint Typhoon Warning Center)

Typhoon Lupit satellite image, 19 Oct 2009

That’s a satellite image of Typhoon Lupit (local name: Ramil) yesterday, Monday, 19 October 2009, when it was classifed as a super-typhoon, packing winds of over 250 kilometres per hour (km/h). (Source: Joint Typhoon Warning Center)

It looked awesome to me (especially when seen on full-screen mode), impressive and frightening at the same time, after seeing what a ‘baby typhoon’ such as Ondoy, or a weaker typhoon like Pepeng, can do.

One of the few good outcomes of the country’s experience with the large-scale destructive effects of Ondoy and Pepeng typhoons is it has placed environmental issues at the top of the national agenda, and has pushed us all to examine our vulnerabilities to disasters, both natural and human-made.

It has forced us to not only debate but, more importantly, to begin agreeing and acting on strategic and sustainable ways to reduce these vulnerabilities at all levels—individual, household, community, and institutional (local and national, public and private).

It teaches us ‘humility’, as one scientist puts it, to respect nature and its powerful forces.

This morning, 20 October, Lupit (Ramil) was downgraded (thankfully) to ‘typhoon’ category, packing 195 km/h-winds, or to a category 3 tropical cyclone (wind speed of 178 to 209 km/h), and appears to be weakening further.

The cyclone’s ‘eye’ has become hazy (see image below from CIMSS) and doesn’t seem as intimidating as it was yesterday at category 5.

Typhoon Lupit satellite image, 20 Oct 2009 (Source: CIMSS)

Typhoon Lupit satellite image, 20 Oct 2009

Nevertheless, it is still a powerful typhoon (stronger than Pepeng), and a very large system, with a diameter of 890 kilometres.

This means that even if the centre of the typhoon strikes northern Luzon, it is bound to affect significant parts of Central Luzon, maybe even parts of Metro Manila, because of its huge size. And, as with any weather system, its movement and intensity keep changing, so it is important to stay tuned to PAGASA.

How much rain is this typhoon bringing?

Lots of it, according to PAGASA. About 20 to 30 millimetres (0.78 to 1.18 inches) per hour, or a rainfall rate of 18.72 to 28.32 inches per day.

But the effects of the amount of rainfall are relative. In a situation where our soils are still soaked, our forests denuded, our waterways still clogged, our rivers and water reservoirs still silted, a day’s rain could mean floodwaters much higher than 18 to 28 inches.

But we also have the valuable (and far too costly) lessons of Ondoy and Pepeng, and a week’s warning of Lupit’s approach.

I hope that all the preparations being done in the past few days by various agencies and communities are for real (and not just for media consumption), and are adequate to meet Lupit’s challenge.

And that, consequently, next week, in the aftermath of Typhoon Lupit (Ramil), we are able to say that we, mere mortals, have started learning our lessons well and have begun to give nature the kind of respect it deserves.

Cruel

Uh-oh. Lupit is the international name of the new tropical storm approaching Philippine territory. It is expected to enter the country’s area of responsibility tonight or early morning of Saturday, 17 October, and make landfall sometime Tuesday or Wednesday next week in the Isabela-Cagayan provinces.

Lupit, as any Tagalog speaker would know, is the vernacular term for ‘cruel’.

I hope and pray the approaching storm isn’t as ferocious as it sounds. This disaster-ravaged country truly needs a long break from any more calamities, both natural and human-made.

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